2023年10月17日 星期二

台海戰情情蒐-以美國日本澳洲菲律賓歐盟中國大陸視角觀之

 


中國大陸和台灣之間的緊張局勢達到近三十年來的最高水平,並有可能導致太平洋地區更廣泛的戰爭。
中國一直在為衝突做準備,並部署了大量軍艦、潛艇、戰鬥機和核轟炸機。
習近平主席警告說,中國將對台灣使用武力,專家認為,未來幾年中國對台灣使用有限武力在某種程度上是不可避免的。
美國的行動假設澳大利亞將加入其聯盟保衛台灣,美國一直在悄悄地在澳大利亞北部建立軍事資產,包括計劃部署具有核能力的 B-52 轟炸機。
中國和台灣之間假設的戰爭情景可能涉及彈道導彈齊射、對美軍的先發製人打擊以及中國軍隊的兩棲入侵。這種衝突的結果仍然不確定,但雙方都可能遭受毀滅性的損失。


美國正在增加其在印太地區的軍事存在,特別是在澳大利亞的後院,以遏制潛在的衝突。
負責亞太地區防空和導彈防禦的布萊恩·吉布森少將強調,由於來自中國和朝鮮的導彈活動增加,需要做好準備。
南中國海因其航道、漁船和油氣儲量而成為一個具有戰略重要性的競爭激烈的地區。
“梅肯島”號兩棲攻擊艦展示了美軍空海結合的作戰能力。
美國、菲律賓和澳大利亞的聯合軍演表明了維護印太地區和平與安全的集體承諾,而中國認為這是不必要的和挑釁性的。


該視頻討論了日本自衛隊在從沖繩到台灣的各個島嶼上的軍事存在。
陸上自衛隊在被認為是該地區最大島嶼之一的石垣島上完成了駐軍。
視頻中提到了航空自衛隊在與那國島設立雷達站,以及在緊急情況下需要進行防御准備。
討論了宮古島軍事設施(包括彈藥庫)的預算和正在進行的建設項目。
宮古島及其港口和機場的戰略重要性,以及與緊急情況下疏散計劃相關的挑戰都得到了解決。


  • 歐盟對華政策顯得混亂,歐盟內部意見和行動存在分歧。
  • 歐洲領導人一直在與中國接觸,但對中國遵守國際規則和價值觀的情況感到擔憂。
  • 歐盟強調在與中國的關係中保護人權和民主原則的重要性。
  • 歐盟旨在重新平衡與中國的關係,並參與氣候變遷和安全挑戰的討論。
  • 一旦發生衝突或入侵,歐盟計畫首先說服中國不要採取侵略行動,如果失敗,則依靠歐洲與夥伴的團結與合作來有效應對。


  • 台灣和日本正在聯合舉行官方政府和軍事活動,以防颱海發生衝突。
  • 焦點轉向日本在發生危機時撤離中國居民,這顯示兩國軍事合作的深度。
  • 台灣和日本於五月中旬啟動的戰略對話討論了與台海潛在戰爭有關的各種情況。
  • 日本參與撤離中國居民可能成為對該地區進行軍事幹預的藉口。
  • 日本自衛隊參與這些討論可能會導致台海緊張局勢加劇,從而乾擾中國的統一努力並引起台灣的恐慌。

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台灣的就不用看了 一直洗腦你沒事沒事沒事 等到有事的話 高官首長早就跑了 我估計國民黨朱立倫娜些人會跑比民進黨蔡英文等人還快


國民黨是之前在北京玩兩面手法阿 買辦跟北京要錢要資源 說要回台灣打台獨搞統一 結果都中飽私囊去了 北京那邊也徒呼負負 反正中國大陸貪官汙吏更多


北京中南海當然希望和平解決 但擋不住這些年民粹主義操弄下的大陸群眾 畢竟人民民意基礎會危及中共的統治 你看維穩費用有多少

2023年10月13日 星期五

鄉愿與刁民-兼論台中鄉土社會下的弊病-以中興大學的學界蠢材為例

 


台中鄉土社會下的弊病-以費孝通的鄉土中國觀之

Answer

In his work, "鄉土中國" (translated as "Local China"), Fei Xiaotong, a prominent Chinese sociologist, examined various aspects of rural Chinese society. Here are some of the key points related to the drawbacks of rural society in Taiwan, based on Fei Xiaotong's perspective:

  1. Rigid Social Structure: Fei Xiaotong emphasized the rigidity of the social structure in rural China. He argued that traditional Chinese society placed a strong emphasis on blood relationships and kinship ties, which led to a hierarchical and often closed social order (Search Result 5). This rigidity could result in limited opportunities for social mobility and personal development.

  2. Closeness and Insularity: Rural Chinese communities tended to be close-knit and insular (Search Result 2). While this closeness could foster a sense of community, it could also lead to a lack of exposure to external ideas and innovations, hindering progress and development.

  3. Norms and Ethics: Fei Xiaotong pointed out the prevalence of self-centered ethical values within these rural communities (Search Result 5). While these values were rooted in traditional customs and beliefs, they could sometimes hinder cooperation and collective progress, as individual interests often took precedence.

  4. Lack of Social Mobility: Traditional rural China often had limited social mobility, with individuals' life paths strongly determined by their family background and social status (Search Result 5). This could lead to disparities in opportunities and resources.

  5. Inefficiency: The entrenched traditions and customs in rural society sometimes led to inefficiencies in resource allocation and decision-making (Search Result 2). Fei Xiaotong believed that these inefficiencies could slow down progress and development.

  6. Resistance to Change: Rural communities could be resistant to change and modernization (Search Result 2). This resistance could stem from a desire to preserve traditional ways of life, but it might also hinder economic and social advancement.

Fei Xiaotong's work on "鄉土中國" laid the foundation for understanding the complexities and challenges of rural Chinese society, shedding light on both its strengths and limitations. It's important to note that these observations are based on the historical context of traditional rural China, and societal changes may have occurred over time.

Sources:

  1. Orchina.net - "鄉土中國的跫音:費孝通逝世十五週年紀念"
  2. Academia.edu - "費孝通差序格局論批判"
  3. Readmoo - "鄉土中國- 費孝通"
  4. Eslite - "鄉土中國"
  5. Chenboda.pixnet - "差序格局與中國文化的等級觀"

2023年10月6日 星期五

論精算神算廟算-以中國哲學西洋哲學數學哲學屌之




https://www.soa.org/programs/elections/2023/2023-board-results/


Who will lead the SOA? You decide.

Whether you are a voting member or would like to get involved in a leadership position, the election process is the first step to voice your opinion.

2023 Board Election Results

The Society of Actuaries (SOA) announces the results of the 2023 Board of Directors Elections. Five Board members and one President-Elect and Vice-Chair have been elected to serve starting with the 2023–2024 term. Thank you to all SOA members who voted in the 2023 election.

Board Results

We welcome the elected members of the SOA Board of Directors.

 

Sherry Chan, FSA 2016, EA 2017, MAAA 2008, FCA 2002
Chief Strategy Officer
Atidot
New York, NY

 

Gabriela Dieguez, FSA 2010, MAAA 2007
Equity Principal & Consulting Actuary
Milliman, Inc.
New York, NY

 

Jackie Lee, FSA 2009, MAAA 2007
Vice President & Principal
Lewis & Ellis, Inc.

Plano, TX

 

Daniel Pribe, FSA 2001, MAAA 1995
Vice President and Chief Actuary
Lumeris

St. Louis, MO

 

Ying Zhao, FSA 2006, MAAA 2005
Associate Partner
McKinsey & Company

Chicago, IL

 

The newly elected Board members will join the continuing Board members Karen Burnett, FSA, FCIA; Ian Duncan, FSA, FIA, FCIA, MAAA, FCA; Sara Goldberg, FSA, MAAA; Dave Ingram, FSA, CERA, MAAA; Lisa Kuklinski, FSA, MAAA; Melody Prangley, FSA, MAAA, EA, FCA; Kelly Rabin, FSA, MAAA, CFA; Mary Beth Ramsay, FSA, MAAA; Si Xie, FSA, CERA, FCIA; and Mercy Yan, FSA, FCIA, MAAA.

The SOA thanks the members who will complete their terms with the SOA Board following the October Board Meeting. The members rolling off are past president Jennifer L. Gillespie, FSA, MAAA; Arpita Das, FSA; Josée Deroy, FSA, MAAA, CFA; and Nazir Valani, FSA, FCIA, MAAA.

President-Elect and Vice-Chair Results

 

Amanda Hug, FSA 2013, MAAA 2013
Director
Willis Towers Watson (WTW)

New York, NY

 

Congratulations to Amanda Hug, FSA, MAAA, who will serve as the 2023–2024 SOA President-Elect and Vice-Chair. Amanda will finish her term as an SOA Elected Board Member to become the 76th president. Some of her other organizational involvements include currently chairing the Governance and Policy Committee and formerly chairing the Taskforce for Evolving the FSA Pathway, as well as currently being Board Liaison for the Diversity, Equity & Inclusion Committee, and formerly with the Research Executive Committee, Sections/Communities, Young Professional Advisory Committee and Professional Development Committee.

During her term, Hug will lead the SOA Board of Directors. Along with her fellow Board members, Hug will vote on important strategic decisions to ensure they will fit within the SOA Long-Term Growth Strategy and Strategic Plan.

For the 2023–2024 term starting in October, Amanda Hug, FSA, MAAA, will serve as the President-Elect and Vice-Chair, joining Timothy Rozar, FSA, MAAA, CERA, who will serve as SOA President for the 2023–2024 term. John W. Robinson, FSA, MAAA, FCA, will serve as past president for the 2023–2024 term.

Voting Process

Vote Totals for President-Elect and Vice-Chair Candidates

Candidate Name

Votes 

Percentages

Amanda Hug, FSA 2013, MAAA 2013 (Endorsed)

2,811

54.7%

Dave Dillon, FSA 2004, MAAA 2002 (Endorsed)

2,328

45.3%

Total Valid Ballots: 5,139

Total Unexercised: 157

Total Ballots Cast: 5,296

 

*In 2023 there was no preferential vote as there were only two candidates for the President-Elect and Vice-Chair position.

Past Three Years Vote Counts:

Year

Count

Percent of Eligible Voters

2023

5,489

18.99%

2022

5,265

19.25%

2021*

4,719

18.32%

 

*The 2021 election cycle took place over two business weeks instead of three as in current and previous elections.


The question appears to be a mix of Chinese characters and phrases related to philosophy. It seems to be discussing the intersections of Chinese philosophy, Western philosophy, mathematics, and possibly other subjects. However, the question is not entirely clear, so I will provide some information related to these topics based on the provided search results.

  1. Philosophy in Taiwan: The search result from National Taiwan University's Philosophy Department mentions courses like "History of Chinese Philosophy" and "History of Western Philosophy"[1]. This suggests that in Taiwan, students can study both Chinese and Western philosophy as part of their academic curriculum.

  2. Philosophy Courses: The document from Fu Jen Catholic University's Philosophy Department lists courses like "Knowledge Theory" and "History of Chinese Philosophy," which might be relevant to the question[2].

  3. Benefits of Studying Philosophy: The search result titled "想讀哲學學類嗎?讓ColleGo!告訴你!" (Thinking of studying philosophy? Let ColleGo! tell you!) mentions that studying philosophy can help develop critical thinking skills and the ability to express ideas logically[3].

  4. Chinese Philosophy: The search result mentioning "道家哲學、魏晉哲學、先秦哲學、中國哲學方法論與史料學" (Daoist philosophy, Wei-Jin philosophy, pre-Qin philosophy, Chinese philosophical methodology, and historiography of philosophy) suggests that there are specialized courses in various branches of Chinese philosophy[4].

  5. Western Philosophy: Western philosophy is referred to as "西方哲學" (Western philosophy) in Chinese, and it has a long history dating back to ancient Greece[5]. It has significantly influenced philosophical thought worldwide.

In summary, the question seems to be about the study of philosophy, particularly Chinese and Western philosophy, and its potential intersections with other fields like mathematics. However, the question is somewhat unclear, so if you have specific aspects or details you would like to know more about, please provide further clarification.



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論精算 神算 廟算-以中國哲學 西洋哲學 數學哲學屌之

Answer

The question appears to be a mix of different terms and concepts from various fields of study. Let's break down the elements mentioned:

  1. 論精算 (Actuarial Science): Actuarial science is a discipline that deals with assessing financial risks using mathematics, statistics, and financial theory. Actuaries often work in insurance and pension industries to determine premiums, reserves, and other financial aspects. They use complex mathematical models to predict future events and their financial implications.

  2. 神算 (Divine Calculation): This term is not standard in any academic field. It might refer to the concept of divine or supernatural calculations, possibly found in religious or philosophical contexts. Without more context, it's challenging to provide a precise definition.

  3. 廟算 (Temple Calculation): Similar to the previous term, "temple calculation" is not a standard term in any academic discipline. It could be related to cultural or religious practices associated with calculations within temples or specific belief systems.

  4. 中國哲學 (Chinese Philosophy): Chinese philosophy is the philosophical tradition of China. It encompasses various schools of thought, such as Confucianism, Taoism, Legalism, and more, which have influenced Chinese culture and beyond.

  5. 西洋哲學 (Western Philosophy): Western philosophy is the philosophical tradition of Western cultures, including the works of ancient Greek philosophers like Plato and Aristotle, as well as modern philosophers such as Kant, Nietzsche, and others.

  6. 數學哲學 (Philosophy of Mathematics): Philosophy of mathematics is a branch of philosophy that explores the nature and foundations of mathematics. It addresses questions about the existence of mathematical objects, the nature of mathematical truth, and the relationships between mathematics and reality.

Given the mix of these terms and the lack of a specific question, it's challenging to provide a concise answer. If you have specific questions about any of these topics, please feel free to ask, and I'll provide more detailed information based on the terms you're interested in.